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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Texas San Antonio

Conference:WAC
Expected RPI:260.0
Current RPI:260
Expected SOS:196
Current Record:10-22
Expected Record:10-22
Current Conf Record:5-15
Expected Conf Record:5-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-8
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:269
Expected OOC SOS:331


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
10-2231.25%260.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas San Antonio.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Morgan St. (236.0)MEACN71-59L0%0.0
11-10Holy Cross (251.0)PatN60-56W100%0.0
11-11Old Dominion (318.0)CAAA70-79W100%0.0
11-17South Carolina Upstate (225.0)ASunH67-59W100%0.0
11-21Brigham Young (69.0)WCCA81-62L0%0.0
11-29Oregon (48.0)P12A95-78L0%0.0
12-1Cal St. Bakersfield (235.0)indA85-52L0%0.0
12-4Mississippi St. (232.0)SECA53-42L0%0.0
12-8South Carolina Upstate (225.0)ASunA88-77L0%0.0
12-21Texas A&M Corpus Chris (323.0)SlndA45-75W100%0.0
12-29Utah St. (108.0)WACH67-71L0%0.0
12-31San Jose St. (261.0)WACH67-80L0%0.0
1-3New Mexico St. (55.0)WACA82-62L0%0.0
1-6Denver (64.0)WACA75-50L0%0.0
1-10Texas Arlington (119.0)WACH67-75L0%0.0
1-12Louisiana Tech (53.0)WACH71-73L0%0.0
1-19Texas St. (272.0)WACH78-81L0%0.0
1-24Seattle (303.0)WACA75-78W100%0.0
1-26Idaho (195.0)WACA74-70L0%0.0
1-31Denver (64.0)WACH57-71L0%0.0
2-2New Mexico St. (55.0)WACH62-75L0%0.0
2-7Louisiana Tech (53.0)WACA74-49L0%0.0
2-9Texas Arlington (119.0)WACA68-63L0%0.0
2-12Cal St. Bakersfield (235.0)indH52-61L0%0.0
2-16Texas St. (272.0)WACA62-73W100%0.0
2-23Nicholls St. (296.0)SlndH76-58W100%0.0
2-28Idaho (195.0)WACH74-56W100%0.0
3-2Seattle (303.0)WACH37-53L0%0.0
3-9Utah St. (108.0)WACA71-51L0%0.0
3-12San Jose St. (261.0)WACN49-67W100%0.0
3-14Louisiana Tech (53.0)WACN67-73W100%0.0
3-15Texas Arlington (119.0)WACN69-53L0%0.0